china GDP - real, nominal, deflator

data:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_GDP_of_China
http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/zxfb/201604/t20160416_1344514.html

중국의 GDP디플레이터에 대한 관심이 높아졌지만, 확인할 방법이 없어서 직접 계산.
중국 통계국 싸이트에는 15년 3분기까지만. 최근 숫자 전체, 실질 GDP 과거 숫자의 대부분, 디플레이터 수치 전체가 없어서 전에 cpi추정하듯이 역으로 계산 후 위키 수치와 비교. 대충 쓸만.

중국의 실질gdp수준을 의심하는 것보다는 고점대비 1/3로 감소한 명목gdp가 턴했다는 것과 2008년부터 지속된 디스인플레이션이 디플레이션을 거치고 끝나가고 있다는 것을 주목할 시기.


Chinese growth: 5 things to watch

3) GDP deflator. Many analysts suspect that China’s statistics bureau tinkers with the politically sensitive real GDP growth figure to ensure it meets the government target. The main tool for such tinkering is thought to be theGDP deflator, the broad measure of price changes used to convert between nominal and inflation-adjusted growth.

When the GDP deflator diverges sharply from more familiar measures of inflation, such as the consumer and producer price indices, suspicion of manipulation rises. The deflator was -0.73 per cent in the fourth quarter, the lowest since 2009. Both CPI and PPI ticked up in the first quarter, so if the deflator sinks further or even remains flat, it will be viewed as a sign of tinkering.

http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2016/04/china-cpi-pork-or-hog-cycle.html




http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2016/04/china-pmi-long-or-short-cycle.html





http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2016/04/ism-pmi-rebound-by-dollar-and-oil.html

http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2016/03/the-end-of-current-business-cycle.html

http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2016/02/china-cpi-estimate.html

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	nominal GDP	real GDP	deflator	nominal yoy	real yoy	def yoy
92-03-01	523,480	1,377,042	38.015
92-06-01	653,680	1,669,403	39.157
92-09-01	712,250	1,836,219	38.789
92-12-01	817,430	2,086,199	39.183
93-03-01	680,310	1,589,106	42.811	29.96	15.40	12.62
93-06-01	841,620	1,893,103	44.457	28.75	13.40	13.54
93-09-01	930,530	2,074,927	44.846	30.65	13.00	15.62
93-12-01	1,099,970	2,382,439	46.170	34.56	14.20	17.83
94-03-01	933,780	1,814,759	51.455	37.26	14.20	20.19
94-06-01	1,156,690	2,144,885	53.928	37.44	13.30	21.30
94-09-01	1,276,450	2,348,817	54.344	37.17	13.20	21.18
94-12-01	1,479,040	2,673,097	55.331	34.46	12.20	19.84
95-03-01	1,206,590	2,032,530	59.364	29.22	12.00	15.37
95-06-01	1,472,780	2,378,678	61.916	27.33	10.90	14.81
95-09-01	1,603,530	2,595,443	61.783	25.62	10.50	13.69
95-12-01	1,830,070	2,961,791	61.789	23.73	10.80	11.67
96-03-01	1,457,260	2,254,076	64.650	20.78	10.90	8.90
96-06-01	1,728,620	2,602,273	66.427	17.37	9.40	7.29
96-09-01	1,845,790	2,836,820	65.065	15.11	9.30	5.31
96-12-01	2,125,560	3,266,855	65.064	16.15	10.30	5.30
97-03-01	1,662,260	2,481,738	66.980	14.07	10.10	3.60
97-06-01	1,929,840	2,862,501	67.418	11.64	10.00	1.49
97-09-01	2,033,860	3,080,786	66.018	10.19	8.60	1.46
97-12-01	2,316,980	3,547,805	65.307	9.01	8.60	0.37
98-03-01	1,797,670	2,660,423	67.571	8.15	7.20	0.88
98-06-01	2,042,790	3,060,013	66.758	5.85	6.90	(0.98)
98-09-01	2,160,670	3,321,087	65.059	6.23	7.80	(1.45)
98-12-01	2,487,230	3,870,655	64.259	7.35	9.10	(1.61)
99-03-01	1,927,450	2,894,540	66.589	7.22	8.80	(1.45)
99-06-01	2,168,370	3,298,694	65.734	6.15	7.80	(1.53)
99-09-01	2,286,510	3,573,490	63.985	5.82	7.60	(1.65)
99-12-01	2,636,440	4,129,989	63.836	6.00	6.70	(0.66)
00-03-01	2,121,550	3,143,470	67.491	10.07	8.60	1.35
00-06-01	2,412,880	3,595,577	67.107	11.28	9.00	2.09
00-09-01	2,549,190	3,887,957	65.566	11.49	8.80	2.47
00-12-01	2,894,010	4,439,738	65.184	9.77	7.50	2.11
01-03-01	2,395,030	3,438,956	69.644	12.89	9.40	3.19
01-06-01	2,679,580	3,901,201	68.686	11.05	8.50	2.35
01-09-01	2,808,620	4,198,994	66.888	10.18	8.00	2.02
01-12-01	3,143,810	4,777,158	65.809	8.63	7.60	0.96
02-03-01	2,613,290	3,741,585	69.844	9.11	8.80	0.29
02-06-01	2,924,560	4,240,605	68.966	9.14	8.70	0.41
02-09-01	3,097,140	4,602,097	67.298	10.27	9.60	0.61
02-12-01	3,465,210	5,211,880	66.487	10.22	9.10	1.03
03-03-01	2,963,110	4,153,159	71.346	13.39	11.00	2.15
03-06-01	3,256,300	4,626,500	70.384	11.34	9.10	2.06
03-09-01	3,496,840	5,062,307	69.076	12.91	10.00	2.64
03-12-01	3,940,220	5,733,068	68.728	13.71	10.00	3.37
04-03-01	3,429,060	4,589,241	74.720	15.73	10.50	4.73
04-06-01	3,871,310	5,158,548	75.047	18.89	11.50	6.62
04-09-01	4,143,580	5,558,413	74.546	18.49	9.80	7.92
04-12-01	4,627,490	6,237,578	74.187	17.44	8.80	7.94
05-03-01	4,013,090	5,094,057	78.780	17.03	11.00	5.43
05-06-01	4,474,820	5,725,988	78.149	15.59	11.00	4.13
05-09-01	4,755,020	6,158,721	77.208	14.76	10.80	3.57
05-12-01	5,346,650	7,011,037	76.260	15.54	12.40	2.79
06-03-01	4,667,830	5,730,814	81.451	16.32	12.50	3.39
06-06-01	5,256,040	6,504,722	80.803	17.46	13.60	3.40
06-09-01	5,546,780	6,910,085	80.271	16.65	12.20	3.97
06-12-01	6,295,010	7,887,417	79.811	17.74	12.50	4.66
07-03-01	5,668,660	6,521,667	86.920	21.44	13.80	6.71
07-06-01	6,464,890	7,473,926	86.499	23.00	14.90	7.05
07-09-01	6,878,950	7,891,317	87.171	24.02	14.20	8.60
07-12-01	7,789,430	8,983,768	86.706	23.74	13.90	8.64
08-03-01	6,877,840	7,271,658	94.584	21.33	11.50	8.82
08-06-01	7,853,760	8,288,584	94.754	21.48	10.90	9.54
08-09-01	8,161,950	8,648,884	94.370	18.65	9.60	8.26
08-12-01	8,781,630	9,621,616	91.270	12.74	7.10	5.26
09-03-01	7,328,360	7,722,501	94.896	6.55	6.20	0.33
09-06-01	8,361,420	8,951,671	93.406	6.46	8.00	(1.42)
09-09-01	8,892,350	9,548,368	93.130	8.95	10.40	(1.31)
09-12-01	9,980,800	10,747,345	92.868	13.66	11.70	1.75
10-03-01	8,668,430	8,664,646	100.044	18.29	12.20	5.42
10-06-01	9,905,980	9,909,500	99.964	18.47	10.70	7.02
10-09-01	10,495,060	10,493,656	100.013	18.02	9.90	7.39
10-12-01	11,820,820	11,822,079	99.989	18.44	10.00	7.67
11-03-01	10,345,690	9,548,440	108.350	19.35	10.20	8.30
11-06-01	11,846,500	10,890,540	108.778	19.59	9.90	8.82
11-09-01	12,527,930	11,480,060	109.128	19.37	9.40	9.11
11-12-01	13,692,230	12,850,600	106.549	15.83	8.70	6.56
12-03-01	11,614,790	10,311,940	112.634	12.27	8.00	3.95
12-06-01	13,076,580	11,709,710	111.673	10.38	7.52	2.66
12-09-01	13,672,290	12,333,630	110.854	9.13	7.44	1.58
12-12-01	15,048,640	13,882,920	108.397	9.91	8.03	1.73
13-03-01	12,808,350	11,112,830	115.257	10.28	7.77	2.33
13-06-01	14,303,180	12,583,250	113.668	9.38	7.46	1.79
13-09-01	15,071,980	13,304,580	113.284	10.24	7.87	2.19
13-12-01	16,618,360	14,944,800	111.198	10.43	7.65	2.58
14-03-01	13,873,800	11,922,610	116.365	8.32	7.29	0.96
14-06-01	15,520,100	13,508,920	114.888	8.51	7.36	1.07
14-09-01	16,346,700	14,261,850	114.618	8.46	7.20	1.18
14-12-01	17,873,280	16,028,260	111.511	7.55	7.25	0.28
15-03-01	14,796,180	12,758,610	115.970	6.65	7.01	(0.34)
15-06-01	16,621,640	14,447,820	115.046	7.10	6.95	0.14
15-09-01	17,359,500	15,239,070	113.914	6.20	6.85	(0.61)
15-12-01	18,937,200	17,118,182	110.626	5.95	6.80	(0.79)
16-03-01	15,852,600	13,613,437	116.448	7.14	6.70	0.41
16-06-01
16-09-01
16-12-01