Thursday, October 24, 2013

Banco Santander 3q13 - 추가



http://www.santander.com/csgs/Satellite/CFWCSancomQP01/en_GB/Corporate/Press-Room/3Q13-Santanders-profit-rose-77-to-EUR-3310-million-in-the-first-nine-months.html?source=email_rt_mc_body&app=n

 Documents   







Banco Santander's chairman, Emilio Botín, said:  “After several years of high  levels of
write-offs and reinforcement of capital, Banco Santander  is prepared for a new period
of increased profitability.”

DIVERSIFICATION. Latin America contributed 49% of group profit (Brazil 24%,
Mexico 11% and Chile 6%),  Europe accounted for 40% (U.K.  15%, Spain 7%,
Germany and Poland 6% each) and the United States 11%.

  Spain: Net attributable profit was EUR 367 million (-51%) and the trend in income
improved. Deposits grew 12% and loans fell 5%. Santander has gained market
share in loans (0.4 point) and deposits (1.0 point) in the last year. So far this year
it has provided EUR 43 billion of new corporate funding.
  United Kingdom:  Ordinary  net  attributable profit  was  EUR 793 million (675
million pounds,  +7%). Lending fell 5%, with corporate loans rising 11%, and
deposits dropped 2%, with a 71% increase in current account volumes.
  Brazil: Net attributable profit was EUR 1,277 million (3,548 million reais,  -13%).
Revenues were stable compared with the previous quarter and costs increased
by less than inflation. Loans grew 7% and deposits rose 8%.




http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-10-24/santander-profit-climbs-on-waning-real-estate-clean-up-charges


0.6 euro, 9% 배당이 유지될 가능성이 높아 보인다.


------------
추가 20131030

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1778902-illusion-and-dilution-in-spanish-banks-dividends?source=feed

배당이 반토막 날 가능성이 있다는 글.
올해 순이익의 2배를 배당하고 있는데, 장기적으로 이익의 50%를 배당하게 될 것으로 보는 데는 공감.
이익이 과거 수준으로 돌아가면 배당액도 유지하면서 배당성향도 유지할 수 있다.
경기회복이 지속되면 충분히 가능하다.

http://avauncer.com/banco-santander-s-a-adr-nysesan-eyes-acquisitions-5744

"The Spanish bank, meanwhile, is eying a slew of acquisitions including two Spanish state-owned lenders, NCG Banco and Catalunya Banc, apart from Polish lender Bank Gospodarki Zywnosciowej S.A. and Spain’s largest consumer finance business owned by El Corte Ingles."

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/517613/20131028/bankia-lehman-bothers-rbs-imf-ecb-eba.htm?fs=2d762

http://www.euroweeklynews.com/finance/item/116731-weak-spanish-economy-weighs-on-bankia-turnaround




comparison of sns user growth - whatsapp update


http://www.geekwire.com/2013/whatsapp-monthly-active-users-350m-twitter/


최근 트위터가 ipo서류의 9월치 MAU를 업데이트했고, whatsapp이 공식적으로 MAU를 발표했다. whatsapp의 사용자 증가 속도는 wechat, line과 유사하다.

최근 관련 서비스들이 앞다투어 메신저 기능을 추가하고 있다.
google, fb, twitter, skype,,,

기존의 wechat, line, kakaotalk, Viber, Kik, snapchat 등의 메신저 외에도 최근 떠오르고 있다는 것들만 여러개이다.
Nimbuzz - 인도
Cubie - 대만
Zalo - Vietnam
Hike - 인도, Softbank
WeMeet - 중국, Weibo

대부분 수익모델이 없거나, 광고, 게임 등으로 똑같고, 잠재적 가입자 수는 제한되어 있기때문에  경쟁이 격화될수록 신규 시장에 진출해서 수익을 내는 것은 어려운 일이다. 그럴 수록 홈그라운드에서 수익을 내는 것이 중요하다. wechat, line, kakaotalk이 가진 장점이다.

http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/oct/23/line-social-app-uk-paul-mccartney
http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/10/22/asia-messaging-wechat-line-whatsapp-vibe-idINDEE99L0CM20131022

최근 아시아의 메신저 앱에 대한 서양인들의 관심이 증가하면서 관련 기사도 증가하고 있다.
가입자를 늘리는 것에 사활을 걸고 있기 때문에 입소문으로 퍼지기를 기다리기 어렵고, tv광고를 포함한 마케팅 비용이 급증하고 있어서, wechat, line 정도를 제외하면 연간 2000억원에 육박하는 비용을 감당하기 어렵다. 어느 수준 이상의 사용자에 도달하면 자본조달을 위해 모회사가 상장을 고려할 가능성이 높다는 것이 대체적인 최근의 의견들이다.








Corning Samsung deal


코닝은 scp 합작을 정리하면서 삼성에게 투자자금 23억 달러를 받는다.
scp의 현금 보유 금액을 반씩 나눠서 삼성과 코닝이 가져가는 것으로 보인다.
삼성디스플레이는 매각대금, 유보이익을 가져가고 이중에서 23억 달러를 코닝 우선주를 사는데 쓴다.

코닝은 향후 20억 달러의 자사주매입을 할 것이다.
아시아의 다른 자회사와 경영 통합을 통해 시너지가 발생할 것이다.
중국에 예정된 설비투자규모를 축소시킬 가능성이 있다.
scp의 50% 지분을 매수하는데 쓰는 비용은 향후 10년간의 계약기간동안 현금흐름으로 충분히 회수할 수 있다.
결과적으로 코닝은 재무적으로 유리한 딜을 했다.

삼성은 전략적으로 보유할 가치가 적어진 scp를 청산했다.
홍석현에게 가는 배당도 없어질 것이다.
코닝과의 전략적 협력은 더 높은 수준으로 지속될 것이다.
OLED 기판 합작회사는 이와는 별도이다.
코닝 우선주의 배당은 4.25%이고, 7년 후에 전환할 수 있다.
향후 지분을 9%까지 올릴 수 있고, 경영에는 관여하지 않는다.
이 딜로 삼성이 코닝을 지배하게 되었다는 생각은 착각일 가능성이 높다.
삼성이 시게이트에게 하드디스크 사업부를 매각하고 대신 지분을 10%정도 보유하다가 몇 배를 남기고 최근 매도했다. 아주 유사한 상황이다.
삼성은 이미 몇년 전부터 단기간의 이익, 매출보다는 장기적인 전략, 비전에 부합하는 방향으로 사업을 조정하고 있고, 삼성의 코닝지분 매입은 그런 과정에서 코닝과의 협력을 확인하는 의미 정도에 불과하다.

상호 윈윈에 가깝다.
디스플레이, TV업계에서는 예전부터 합작과 청산이 반복되고 있다.
브라운관 유리 공장의 합작과 청산. 필립스와 LG. 삼성과 코닝(?)
LCD 패널 공장의 합작과 청산. 필립스와 LG, 삼성과 소니.
LCD 패널 공장의 지분 투자. 삼성과 샤프.

http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2013/10/corning.html

뉴스 공개 후 주가 상승이 14%에 달한다.
만약 위글을 올리고 매수를 했더라면 참 운이 좋았다고 했을 일이다. ㅈㅈ.

장 후 시간외 거래가격이 20% 이상 (25.8%라고 증권사보고서에 나옴) 상승했던 것에 비하면 약한 모습이다.
상대적으로 6%가 싸진 셈이라고 할 수는 있다.

이 거래와 관련해서 향후 2년 동안 코닝의 eps는 약 20% 상승하게 될 것이라고 한다.
자사주매입, 매입지분으로부터의 순이익 증가, 시너지 등을 모두 고려해서 그렇다고 한다.
그렇게 생각해도 상대적으로 6%가 싸진 셈이다.

이 거래까지 고려하면 지금은 코닝이 미국의 it관련주 중에서 가장 싼 편이다.
물론 올해 초 per 5나 6짜리들이 굴러다닐 때와 비교하면 많이 높다.


아래는 관련된 코닝의 보도자료이다.

http://www.corning.com/news_center/news_releases/2013/2013102201.aspx



Corning and Samsung Strengthen Strategic Collaborations

Corning to acquire full ownership of SCP, enabling significant synergies
Corning’s board authorizes additional $2 billion share repurchase program
Actions expected to be immediately accretive on fully diluted basis for Corning

CORNING, N.Y., October 22, 2013 – Corning Incorporated (NYSE: GLW) announced today that it is entering into a series of strategic and financial agreements with Samsung Display Co., Ltd., intended to strengthen product and technology collaborations between the two companies. These agreements will allow Corning to extend its leadership in specialty glass and drive earnings growth. Corning expects the transactions to close in the first quarter of 2014.
The series of transactions, subject to closing conditions being met, will result in:
  • Corning obtaining full ownership of Samsung Corning Precision Materials Co., Ltd. (SCP), an unconsolidated equity venture with Samsung Display that manufactures LCD glass in Korea. Samsung Display currently owns 43% of SCP.
  • After redemption of their interest in SCP, Samsung Display’s investment in new convertible preferred shares of Corning with an aggregate face amount of $1.9 billion.
  • Corning’s acquisition of the other shareholders’ minority interests in SCP for an expected proportional cash payment.
  • Samsung Display’s additional $400 million investment in Corning by subscribing to new convertible preferred shares.
  • Using Corning’s current share count, Samsung Display’s combined investment in Corning would result in approximately 7.4% ownership on an as-converted basis.
  • A new long-term LCD display glass supply agreement between Corning and Samsung Display through 2023.
  • A strengthening of the two companies’ technology collaborations on strategic product development and commercialization initiatives.
In addition, Corning’s board of directors has authorized an additional $2 billion of share repurchases through Dec. 31, 2015, dependent upon the transaction closing.
“We are excited to enter this new era of collaboration in our 40-year equity relationship with Samsung, one of the world leaders in consumer electronics,” Wendell P. Weeks, chairman, chief executive officer and president, said. “The agreements provide important financial and strategic benefits to both Corning and Samsung.”
“Corning and its shareholders will realize attractive financial returns as the transactions produce immediate earnings accretion through the addition of the remainder of SCP, substantial cost synergies and significant incremental free cash flow. Our new long-term supply agreement will provide Corning steady demand in the global LCD market. By leveraging SCP’s fusion-based manufacturing assets, we will further extend our leadership in advanced glass. This affords us greater flexibility in servicing customers, managing capacity, and minimizing capital spending as we expand production of Corning® Gorilla® Glass and pursue new specialty glass applications,” he added.
“We are pleased to have an opportunity to strengthen the strategic ties between our two companies,” Kinam Kim, president and chief executive officer of Samsung Display, said. “We look forward to concentrating our efforts and combining our expertise in product development with Corning’s renowned leadership in glass technologies to develop new market opportunities in consumer products and other industries.”
Corning Expects to Realize Immediate and Long-Term Financial Benefits“Shareholders will benefit from access to $1.2 billion which represents Corning’s share of existing cash on SCP’s balance sheet, as well as the cumulative incremental free cash flow going forward, which could total $2 billion over the next four years,” Weeks said. The structure of the transaction will also immediately increase Corning’s domestic cash balances.
He added, “Synergies from integrating our worldwide fusion glass assets should approach $100 million pretax in 2015 and continue to grow thereafter. We believe that accretion to Corning’s core earnings per share, on a fully diluted basis of approximately 20% in 2014 and 2015, can be generated from the combination of profits from the soon-to-be acquired 50% of SCP; the resulting manufacturing synergies; and the impact of the additional share repurchase program. The impact of the additional share repurchase program should offset the potential dilution of shares embedded in the convertible preferred security. The transaction should add approximately $2 billion in annual sales; $350 million in incremental profit before special items; and approximately $500 million in additional cash flow to Corning.”
Corning also expects to realize increased flexibility in glass-melting capabilities, which should bring added capital savings. Furthermore, the company will re-evaluate the need for major capital expenditures for additional fusion glass manufacturing assets.
The new convertible preferred shares will have an annual 4.25% coupon and are convertible into common shares based on a price of $20 per common share. The preferred shares are not convertible for seven years, subject to certain exceptions, and contain only limited voting rights until conversion. Effective today, Corning and Samsung have entered into a standstill agreement that limits Samsung’s activities with respect to Corning’s shares and governance. Effective upon closing, a shareholder agreement between Corning and Samsung will limit Samsung’s ownership to no more than 9% of Corning’s common shares on an as-converted basis. The transaction contains a re-pricing mechanism that will account for changes in SCP’s glass prices, volume and Japanese yen to U.S. dollar exchange.
Corning has LCD glass manufacturing operations in the United States, Japan, Taiwan and China. Samsung Corning Precision Materials has LCD glass manufacturing facilities in Korea. Following completion of the transaction, the SCP organization will be integrated into Corning’s Display Technologies segment. Corning will be able to service all specialty glass customers in all regions directly, utilizing its manufacturing facilities throughout Asia. U.S. Corsam Technologies LLC, and Samsung Corning Advanced Glass LLC, both equity affiliates established between Corning and Samsung Display, will continue under their current agreements.
Conference Call InformationThe company will host a conference call on Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2013 at 4:30 p.m., ET. To participate, please call toll free (800) 230-1085 or for international access call (612) 332-0228 approximately 10-15 minutes prior to the start of the call. The password is ‘CORNING INCORPORATED OCTOBER 22ND CONFERENCE CALL.’ The host is ‘NICHOLSON’. To listen to a live audio webcast of the call, go to Corning’s Web site atwww.corning.com/investor_relations and click Investor Events on the left. A replay will be available beginning at approximately 6:30 p.m., ET and will run through 12 a.m. ET Tuesday, Nov. 12, 2013. To listen, dial (800) 475-6701 or for international access dial (320) 365-3844. The access code is 306287. The webcast will be archived for one year following the call.
Presentation of Information in this News ReleaseNon-GAAP financial measures are not in accordance with, or an alternative to, GAAP. Corning’s non-GAAP financial measures exclude the impact of items that are driven by general economic conditions and events that do not reflect the underlying fundamentals and trends in the Company’s operations. The company believes presenting non-GAAP financial measures assists in analyzing financial performance without the impact of items that may obscure trends in the company’s underlying performance. Detailed reconciliations outlining the differences between these non-GAAP measures and the most directly comparable GAAP measure can be found on the company’s website by going towww.corning.com/investor_relations and clicking Financial Reports on the left. These reconciliations also accompany this news release.
Forward-Looking and Cautionary StatementsThis press release contains “forward-looking statements” (within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), which are based on current expectations and assumptions about Corning’s financial results and business operations, that involve substantial risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include: the effect of global political, economic and business conditions; conditions in the financial and credit markets; currency fluctuations; tax rates; product demand and industry capacity; competition; reliance on a concentrated customer base; manufacturing efficiencies; cost reductions; availability of critical components and materials; new product commercialization; pricing fluctuations and changes in the mix of sales between premium and non-premium products; new plant start-up or restructuring costs; possible disruption in commercial activities due to terrorist activity, armed conflict, political or financial instability, natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, or major health concerns; adequacy of insurance; equity company activities; acquisition and divestiture activities; the level of excess or obsolete inventory; the rate of technology change; the ability to enforce patents; product and components performance issues; retention of key personnel; stock price fluctuations; and adverse litigation or regulatory developments. These and other risk factors are detailed in Corning’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the day that they are made, and Corning undertakes no obligation to update them in light of new information or future events.
About Samsung Corning Precision Materials
Samsung Corning Precision Materials is a South Korea-based manufacturer of LCD glass for flat panel displays. The business was formed as an equity venture in 1995 between Corning (50% ownership), Samsung (42.6% ownership) and minority ownership of the remainder (7.4%). In 2012, SCP recorded net sales of $3.1 billion with net income of $1.4 billion. Corning includes full financial statements for SCP in its annual report.

About Samsung Display Co., Ltd.Samsung Display Co., Ltd. is a global leader in display panel technology and products. Employing approximately 39,000 people at seven production facilities and nine sales offices worldwide, Samsung Display specializes in high-quality displays for consumer, mobile, IT and industrial usage, including those featuring OLED (organic light emitting diode) and LCD technologies. As a total solution provider, Samsung Display strives to advance the future with next-generation technologies featuring ultra-thin, energy-efficient, flexible, and transparent displays. For more information, please visitwww.samsungdisplay.com.

About Corning IncorporatedCorning Incorporated (www.corning.com) is the world leader in specialty glass and ceramics. Drawing on more than 160 years of materials science and process engineering knowledge, Corning creates and makes keystone components that enable high-technology systems for consumer electronics, mobile emissions control, telecommunications and life sciences. Our products include glass substrates for LCD televisions, computer monitors and laptops; ceramic substrates and filters for mobile emission control systems; optical fiber, cable, hardware & equipment for telecommunications networks; optical biosensors for drug discovery; and other advanced optics and specialty glass solutions for a number of industries including semiconductor, aerospace, defense, astronomy, and metrology.

Media Relations Contact:   Daniel F. Collins
(607) 974-4197
collinsdf@corning.com
Investor Relations Contact:Ann H. S. Nicholson
(607) 974-6716
nicholsoas@corning.com


http://www.corning.com/news_center/news_releases/2013/2013102202.aspx

Performance highlights of the third quarter of 2013 include:
  • Core earnings per share of $0.33*, an 18% increase over the third quarter of 2012 of $0.28*. GAAP earnings per share of $0.28, compared with $0.36 a year ago. 
  • Core sales of $2.1 billion*, an increase of 10% over the same period of 2012 of $1.9 billion*. Net sales (GAAP) for the third quarter of 2013 and 2012 were $2.1 billion and 2.0 billion, respectively.
  • In the Display Technologies segment, third-quarter LCD glass sequential price declines remained moderate, as expected. LCD glass volume was up slightly sequentially, driven by higher-than-expected demand in the wholly owned business.
  • Sales in all other segments were in line with expectations.
  • Core gross margin was 44%*, up nearly two percentage points year over year and up slightly sequentially.

-----------------------
추가

대우증권 보고서에 말이 필요없게 정리가 잘 되어 있다.
그런데 삼성전자가 아니라 삼성sdi 보고서이다.
보고서를 쓴 황준호 애널의 보고서는 관심을 둘만하다.











cj e&m 실적 누출


cj e&m 3q13 - 받아쓰기

http://runmoneyrun.blogspot.kr/2013/10/cj-e-3q13.html

cj가 실적을 애널들에게 미리 알려 준 것으로 보인다고 했다.
미리 알게 된 기대 이하의 실적을 바탕으로 공매도하고 싸게 되사는 짓을 노골적으로 하려고 하지 않았다면 이런 것은 의심스러울 뿐 밝혀지기는 어렵다.

그런데 이번에는 아예 여러 애널들에게 미리 공개를 한 모양이다.
미리 듣지 못한 한 증권사의 애널만 바보가 된 모양새이다.

공매도가 추가로 진행되지 않은 것은 너무 많은 사람들에게 알려서 높은 가격에 충분히 매도할 기회가 없었기 때문으로 보인다.

어떤 애널리스트는 받아쓰기 하면서도 숫자를 조금 바꾸는 재주를 부렸다. 부끄럽다고 생각한 것일까? 아니면 자기는 아닌 것처럼 보이려고 한 것일까?

이 회사는 다음에도 같은 짓을 반복할 가능성이 높다고 봐야 한다.
주가가 갑자기 변하면 누군가는 내부정보를 가지고 장난을 치고 있다는 것이다.

*레기 회사. *러지 애널들.

관련된 애널과 공매도한 기관투자자들은 현재의 한국 법으로도 주가 조작으로 콩밥을 먹일 수 있을 것이다. 그런데 그냥 넘어가는 모양이다.


1. 불성실공시법인 지정예고내역
불성실공시 유형공시불이행
내용'13년 3/4분기 영업(잠정)실적 공시불이행
사유발생일2013-10-16
공시일-
지정예고일2013-10-23
2. 불성실공시법인지정여부 결정시한2013-11-18
3. 최근 2년간 불성실공시법인 부과벌점-
4. 근거규정코스닥시장공시규정 제27조 및 제32조
5. 기타*최근 2년간 불성실공시법인 부과벌점은 기존에 당해 법인이 불성실공시로 인해 관리종목으로 지정된 경우에는 지정 이후 누계벌점임.
동 사는 '13.10.16일에 일부 기관투자자를 대상 으로 '13년 3/4분기 잠정 영업실적에 대한 정보를 제공한 바 있으며, 거래소는 '13.10.22자 언론보도를 통해 동 사실을 인지하였고, 향후 관련내용에 대한 불성실공시 해당여부를 공시위원회  심의를 거쳐 결정할 예정입니다.

가장 먼저 영업이익을 수정한 것은 16일 ktb이지만 15일 이미 알고 있는 외부인이 있었을 것이다.