http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/Monsoon_frame.htm
http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/14/india_monsoon/index.html
http://time.com/2863838/heres-what-we-can-expect-from-el-nino-this-year/
"The El Niño weather phenomenon that has previously devastated the Western Pacific and parts of Australia now has a 90% chance of striking again this year according to a recent report by the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)."
미국에서는 70%라고 했는데, 유럽에서는 90%라고 하는 모양이다.
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Brecht/2014-06-06-El-Nino-Is-Coming-Time-To-Buy-Gold.html
엘니뇨가 오면, 곡물 수확이 줄고, 곡물가격이 올라가면, 인플레이션이 오는데 금은 인플레이션 헤지라고...
엘니뇨가 오면, 인도 몬순의 강수량이 줄고, 곡물 수확이 줄어서, 농부들이 돈을 못 벌면, 금을 살 수가 없으니 금수요가 줄고, 그러면 금값이...
다들 열심히 김칫국들을 마시고 있구먼...
http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/06/13/thailand-may-use-more-rubber-at-home/
"What is happening in Thai rubber mirrors problems in the rice sector. Thailand lost its crown as the world’s leading rice exporter in 2012 because of a similar income-support policy that paid farmers above-market prices but left the country with huge stockpiles of rice and massive debts."
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